Climate and Energy News Roundup 1/24/2020

Politics and Policy

On Thursday, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moved the hands on their Doomsday Clock to 100 sec. before midnight, the time of the metaphorical end of life on Earth.  This is the first time that the clock setting has been less than 2 min. since it was established in 1947.  The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) contains a cornucopia of free-trade provisions for oil and gas companies.  One environmentalist calls it “a climate failure any way you look at it.”  In a letter on Wednesday to OMB, Sen. Thomas R. Carper (D-DE), ranking member of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, argued that the Trump administration’s plan to cut back future increases in fuel-efficiency standards “if finalized in its present form, will lead to vehicles that are neither safer, nor more affordable or fuel-efficient.”  The Trump administration on Wednesday approved a right-of-way grant allowing for the construction of the controversial Keystone XL pipeline across 44 miles of BLM land in Montana. 

An article in The Guardian stated “Though the climate crisis is creating conditions where workers are facing hotter temperatures on a more frequent basis, there are no federal safety protections for workers in extreme temperatures, and only three states, California, Washington and Minnesota, have heat stress workplace protection standards.”  A study published in the journal Climate found that neighborhoods with higher temperatures were often the ones subjected to discriminatory, race-based housing practices nearly a century ago.  The UN High Commissioner for Refugees said that the world needs to prepare for millions of people being driven from their homes by the impact of climate change.  Furthermore, governments must take into account the risks of climate change when considering a refugee’s claim for asylum, the UN Human Rights Committee has ruled.

Amy Harder of Axios sat down with some House Republicans to discuss their climate plans.  With the Axios article as background, here is an opinion piece that deserves a read, as does this interview with Sen. Mike Braun (R-IN).  However, Kate Aronoff, a staff writer for The New Republic remains skeptical.  On Tuesday, Florida lawmakers advanced a proposal that would create a statewide Office of Resiliency and establish a task force to begin looking into how best to protect the state’s 1350 miles of coastline from rising oceans.  A group of state lawmakers from North and South Carolina want to deregulate the states’ electricity markets by allowing competition for power production.  Both states are regulated monopolies with Duke Energy or Dominion Energy as their suppliers.  Reuters has compiled summaries of the climate change policies of the top eight Democrat presidential contenders.

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, President Trump was pushing U.S. fossil fuels while the other heads-of-state and business leaders were seeking climate solutions, although the latter were vague about what exactly they would do and how quickly.  Prior to Davos, Robert J. Samuelson had an interesting column about the limitations on investors fighting climate change.  Writing about the Davos meeting, Marianne Lavelle of Inside Climate News wrote about Trump, “But the more he’s talked [about climate change], the less clear it’s been to many people whether he knows enough about the science to deny it.”  On Thursday, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin mocked Greta Thunberg (causing her to hit back), prompting Philip Bump at The Washington Post to query environmental economist Gernot Wagner of New York University.  Meanwhile, a book-length report, published by the Bank for International Settlements, in Basel, Switzerland, signaled that climate change risks could be the overriding theme for central banks in the decade to come.  

Climate and Climate Science

The bushfires in southeastern Australia this season have burned about eight times as much land as the 2018 fires in California, which covered nearly two million acres and were the worst in that state’s recorded history.  As a result the Australian fires are contributing to one of the biggest annual increases in the concentration of CO2 in the Earth’s atmosphere since record-keeping began more than 60 years ago.  The human cost of the bushfires increased Wednesday when three U.S. firefighters were killed in the crash of their Lockheed C-130 Hercules plane.  The fires, however, which have directly affected more than half of all Australians, have also served to energize Australia’s environmental and climate movement.  Nevertheless, climate change deniers in Australia’s Parliament are still in control.

Now that all of the official climate data from 2019 are in, Carbon Brief published its annual “State of the Climate” report.  As part of its “Climate Solutions” series, Washington Post reporter Ben Guarino wrote about efforts to plant a trillion new trees on Earth.  Two weeks ago, I provided a link to an article about the appropriation of $4 million to NOAA to study geoengineering.  This week there was an article about what NOAA will do with the money.

Atmospheric concentrations of HFC-23, a greenhouse gas nearly 13,000 times more potent than CO2, rose faster than ever over a three-year period starting in 2015, a new study in Nature Communications has found. The findings suggest that China and India may not be living up to recent pledges to dramatically reduce emissions of the pollutant.

The latest generation of climate models, referred to as CMIP6, are showing higher climate sensitivity (amount of warming in °C associated with a doubling of CO2e in the atmosphere) than previous models.  Drastic fluctuations in climate could cause significant deterioration to tens of thousands of steel-girder bridges built across the U.S. after World War II.

Climate change is aggravating an erosion crisis in Nigeria that is wrecking buildings, roads, and farmland; damage may cost up to $100 million a year.  It is also causing permafrost to thaw all over the Arctic.  Environmental writer Ed Struzik visited the Canadian Arctic to learn the impacts.  New research, published in the journal Scientific Reports, suggests that Arctic sea ice cannot “quickly bounce back” if climate change causes it to melt.

Energy

At Foresight: Climate and Energy, energy analyst Serge Colle of Ernst & Young Global Limited addressed the question of whether the potential gains for energy companies outweigh the risks of an accelerated transition to renewable energy.  Oil and gas companies put their own survival at risk if they fail to adapt to providing clean-energy solutions to the world, the International Energy Agency said in a report Monday.  Arizona Public Service, the state’s biggest electricity provider, announced Wednesday that it will seek to produce all of its power from carbon-free sources by 2050.  According to Energy Information Administration data released Tuesday, wind and solar will make up 32 of the 42 GW of new capacity additions expected to start commercial operation in the U.S. in 2020, dwarfing the 9.3 GW of natural-gas-fired plants to come online this year.

According to a report by scientists from Finland’s Lappeenranta University of Technology, the energy storage industry will grow to employ millions by 2050, fueling a renewables jobs boom as fossil fuel industries shed millions of workers.  You may have heard of Redox Flow Batteries for utility-scale energy storage, but know little about them.  Well, Energy Storage News has a primer on them.

A study, published in the journal Energy Policy, found that carbon emissions from China’s aviation sector could almost quadruple by 2050.

Incoming BP CEO Bernard Looney plans to expand the company’s climate targets and adopt broader carbon emissions reduction goals that will likely include emissions from fuels and products sold to customers rather than just those from BP’s own operations.  After spending nearly $13 million to defeat a carbon-pricing ballot measure in 2018, BP launched a public relations campaign last weekend to promote putting a price on carbon pollution in Washington state.  Meanwhile, the Washington State Supreme Court ruled that the state’s Clean Air Act cannot be applied to companies that sell or distribute natural gas but do not directly release CO2 by burning the fuel.  An article in The Economist stated “The question is no longer ‘whether’ Big Oil has a big role to play in averting the climate crisis. It is ‘when’.”  On the other hand, two historians of science argued that Congress must use its power to investigate Big Oil, just as it once investigated Big Tobacco.

Winchester Medical Center will soon have one of the largest solar power systems of any hospital in Virginia, a move that will save an estimated $3.25 million in electric utility bills over the next 30 years.

Potpourri

The Washington Post has a “Climate Curious” column, where readers can submit questions about climate change.  This week’s column addressed the question of “What does ‘dangerous’ climate change really mean?”  Peter Sinclair has a new video; this one about the fires in Australia (where he lives), which are thought to be a sign of a fundamental change in its climate.  The last decade was the worst on record for economic losses from natural disasters, amounting to $3 trillion – over a trillion more than the previous decade, insurance broker Aon said on Wednesday.  If you enjoy using simulators to help you think about big questions, then you may be interested in the “En-Roads Climate Change Solutions Simulator” developed jointly by the MIT Sloan School of Management, Climate Interactive, and Ventana Systems.  Amy Brady interviewed Norwegian author Maja Lunde about her cli-fi novel, The End of the Ocean.  Makoto Shinkai’s new anime film, Weathering with You, features climate change as the backdrop of a story about two teenagers.  It was reviewed by David Sims in The Atlantic.

These news items have been compiled by Les Grady, member and former chair of the CAAV steering committee. He is a licensed professional engineer (retired) who taught environmental engineering at Purdue and Clemson Universities and engaged in private practice with CH2M Hill, the world’s largest environmental engineering consulting firm. Since his retirement in 2003 he has devoted much of his time to the study of climate science and the question of global warming and makes himself available to speak to groups about this subject. More here.

Kirk Becchi LTEs for the Climate

CAAV members have been impressed with local attorney Kirk Becchi’s consistent messaging for the climate through letters to the editor in the Daily News-Record over the past two years. With his permission, we thought we’d share the collection here.


A Tale Of Two Red States
Open Forum: Kirk Becchi
December 9, 2019

Some may be tempted to dismiss the climate change- driven wildfires in California as a liberal state problem. But climate change doesn’t discriminate based upon political persuasion. Rather, it hurts us all.

Republican leaning Alaska and Florida are located in opposite corners of North America. In addition to being geographically distant, those states are known for divergent attractions. Alaska is pictured largely as an unspoiled winter wonderland and many people view Florida as a tropical paradise. But these diverse states share a tragic commonality. They are each on the front line of climate change.

According to the International Arctic Research Center, Alaska is warming at approximately 2.5 times the rate of the lower 48 states. Sea ice cools Alaska. A recent study found that sea ice volume Arctic- wide is about 47% lower than the average from 1979- 2018. Alaska’s permafrost is melting, which in turn is undermining the structures and roads built upon it. Melting permafrost releases even more carbon into the atmosphere. Die- offs among sea birds, gray whales, seals, mussels and krill are being reported.

In Florida, studies have shown that climate change increased the amount of rainfall during hurricanes and caused hurricanes to stall out, i.e. hover, instead of moving through, resulting in greater damage to the affected places. Florida’s coral reefs are being attacked by coral bleaching, ocean acidification, disease, and pollution. Algae blooms, like red tide, cost Florida counties $90 million in 2018. Miami is experiencing tidal flooding on sunny days. Sea water is creeping toward the Biscayne Bay Aquifer, which supplies 90 percent of South Florida’s drinking water.

The threat is global. For people who find scientific journals long, boring, and loaded with wonky jargon, in November 2019, a document entitled “ World Scientists’ Warning on a Climate Emergency” was published. The paper succinctly stated “ We declare, with more than 11,000 scientist signatories from around the world, clearly and unequivocally that planet Earth is facing a climate emergency.” Admirers of plain speakers should appreciate the scientists’ directness.

Also in November, the medical journal The Lancet published a report stating that if climate change is left unabated it will adversely and disproportionately affect every child alive today and those yet to be born. Those children will live to see a planet which will be 7.2 degrees warmer than today. While that may not sound like much of a change, they will “ experience more heatwaves, stronger storms, the spread of infectious disease, and see climate change intensify mass migration, extreme poverty, and mental illness.”

The Lancet report doesn’t say that our children are condemned to suffer the adverse effects described. Instead, the report states that we can mitigate and adapt to climate change if we rapidly reduce greenhouse gas emissions, commit to decarbonization, encourage healthier lifestyles (i.e. biking and walking), invest in evidence- based climate change surveillance and adaption, and improve resilient infrastructure and preparedness.

The time for ignoring climate change for reasons unrelated to the science, or pretending it’s someone else’s problem, are long past.

Kirk Becchi lives in Rockingham.

Copyright © 2019 Daily News-Record 12/9/2019


So You’re A Conservative? Then Conserve
Open Forum: Kirk Becchi
June 24, 2019

In the 20th century, Republicans and conservatives advocated for conservation. Republican President Theodore Roosevelt said “Here is your country. Cherish these natural wonders, cherish the natural resources, cherish the history and romance as a sacred heritage, for your children and your children’s children. Do not let selfish men or greedy interests skin your country of its beauty, its riches or its romance.”

Republican President Richard Nixon, founder of the EPA, said “Our physical nature, our mental health, our culture and institutions, our opportunities for challenge and fulfillment, our very survival — all of these are directly related to and affected by the environment in which we live. They depend upon the continued healthy functioning of the natural systems of the Earth.”

Even Republican President Ronald Reagan, who was not an environmentalist, spoke of the importance of environmental protection. “If we’ve learned any lessons during the past few decades, perhaps the most important is that preservation of our environment is not a partisan challenge; it’s common sense. Our physical health, our social happiness and our economic well-being will be sustained only by all of us working in partnership as thoughtful, effective stewards of our natural resources.”

The Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, a panel with members from 132 nations including the United States, issued a report in May. The report was prepared by nearly 150 authors, from 50 nations, working over a three-year period. Representatives of all 132 member nations signed off on the findings.

The report concluded that 1 million plant and animal species are on the verge of extinction, with alarming implications for human survival, due to man-made climate change and other human activities. The authors noted that more plants and animals are threatened with extinction now than in any other point in human history. The panel’s chairman noted the “decline in biodiversity is eroding ‘the foundations of our economies, livelihoods, food security, health and quality of life worldwide.’” The report found that the natural world is collapsing around us, but also that it’s not too late to make a difference. However, that difference will require more than 100 nations to work together, including the United States.

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the 10 warmest years on record have all occurred since 1998, and the four warmest years on record have all occurred since 2014. For people who seem not to trust scientists who are unknown to them, hopefully Bill Nye the Science Guy will be compelling. He recently noted on a TV talk show that climate change is an actual crisis.

Through a combination of intentional disinformation, misinformation, shortsightedness, and mistrust too many people have been lulled into inaction, and worse hostility, toward responding to the climate crisis. We’re decades late to the fight, but not too late to attempt to stem some of the worst effects of climate change. The wolf is at the door. And the future is not ours to squander.

Kirk Becchi lives in Rockingham.

Copyright © 2019 Daily News-Record 6/24/2019


The Future Is Now
Open Forum: Kirk Becchi
January 31, 2019

Nature just fired a major climate change warning shot. For example, in 2018 Virginia experienced 190 days of measurable precipitation, for a record setting 63.5 inches of rain, the second highest total since 1889.

In early 2019, the Department of Defense (DOD) issued a report to Congress stating that climate change is a national security issue and that dozens of military installations are vulnerable to floods, droughts and wildfires.

On Black Friday 2018, the Trump administration released the 1,500 page Volume II of the Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4), which was prepared by 13 federal agencies, including DOD, EPA and NASA. Key findings of the NCA4 include: “More frequent and intense extreme weather and climate-related events, as well as changes in average climate conditions, are expected to continue to damage infrastructure, ecosystems, and social systems that provide essential benefits to communities. … With continued growth in emissions at historic rates, annual losses in some economic sectors are projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars by the end of the century. … Extreme weather and climate-related impacts on one system can result in increased risks or failures in other critical systems, including water resources, food production and distribution, energy and transportation, public health, international trade, and national security. … Climate change is also expected projected to alter the geographic range and distribution of disease carrying insects and pests, exposing more people to ticks that carry Lyme disease and mosquitoes that transmit viruses such as Zika, West Nile, and dengue. … [C]lean air and water, protection from coastal flooding, wood and fiber, crop pollination, hunting and fishing, tourism, cultural identities, and more will continue to be degraded by the impacts of climate change. … Climate change presents numerous challenges to sustaining and enhancing crop productivity, livestock health, and the economic vitality of rural communities.”

Climate change isn’t a future problem. It’s an immediate and urgent threat. However, for decades, interested parties have acted to confuse and trivialize the issue. For example, one senator from a fossil fuel producing state even tossed a snowball on the Senate floor, in an attempt to demonstrate that climate change isn’t real. Despite such efforts at disinformation, Americans are now regularly seeing the effects of climate change in the news and out their windows.

Sometimes leaders have to lead. Politicians must disavow the misinformation spread in the past, explain the urgency of the situation (so we are willing to do what is necessary to address the problem), listen to the scientists and implement their recommendations as best we can. The likelihood that this will involve sacrifice is not a reason to fail to act. No war, and this is a war, has been won without sacrifice, and the costs of inaction will far exceed the costs of seeking to mitigate the worst effects of climate change, while there’s still time.

Americans don’t sit idly on the sidelines. Instead, we lead, fight and win. The world needs our leadership, moral clarity, and technological and industrial prowess to confront.

Mr. Becchi lives in Rockingham.

Copyright © 2019 Daily News-Record 1/31/2019


Preserve Our Traditional Outdoor Way Of Life
Open Forum: Kirk Becchi
December 12, 2018

Many Americans love the outdoors for hunting, fishing or even just backyard grilling. Climate change can rob us of those pleasures. According to the National Wildlife Federation “[c]limate change poses an immediate and specific threat to hunting and fishing in America.” A 2015 NWF publication entitled “Climate Impacts to Our Hunting and Fishing Heritage” predicts that climate change may cause shifts in major ecosystems in up to 20 percent of North America. The article notes “[s]hifting ranges for pests and disease-causing pathogens may have some of the most devastating impacts for wildlife and habitats.” Among the threatened species are white-tailed deer, ducks and brook trout, which are described as being “severely threatened” and having lost half their historic habitat in Virginia.

In May 2018, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issued a report stating “Climate change will force hundreds of ocean fish and invertebrate species, including some of the most economically important to the United States, to move northward, disrupting fisheries in the United States and Canada.”

It’s not just wildlife that are threatened. The meat we buy at the grocery store, and toss on the grill, is vulnerable. A Jan. 19, 2017, EPA publication entitled “Climate Impacts on Agriculture and Food Supply” casts a dark shadow over barbecues. The article projects that climate change driven-heat waves, droughts, parasites, and diseases will directly endanger livestock.

The wildlife many Americans hunt, the fish we catch, and even the farm animals Americans eat are endangered and will be disappearing. The outdoor life those species historically enabled Americans to enjoy will vanish with the threatened animals and fish. Unless we swiftly and effectively act, future generations, including our children, will be deprived of their outdoor heritage.

After the World War II attack on Pearl Harbor, only the most unpatriotic Americans would have dared to say “we shouldn’t enter the war because fighting might hurt the economy.” Instead, our grandfathers enlisted and our grandmothers took their places in the workforce. Americans led the way and endured whatever hardships were necessary to get the job done and win the war. The doubters were rightfully ignored. Combating climate change is a true world war. The coasts and island nations are suffering hardest first, but no place on the planet is safe. Also, people of all political beliefs need clean air and water, and a temperate climate.

We don’t own the Earth. Rather, we just borrow it for a very short time from our kids, our grandkids, and everyone else who follows us. It’s our moral responsibility to turn the planet over to those who follow us in at least as good a condition as we got it. If we want the next generations to be able to enjoy the same outdoor experiences we had, we need to demand immediate and decisive action from politicians, and join the fight. Our children are watching. How will we answer when they ask “what did you do during the war to save the environment?”

Kirk Becchi lives in Rockingham.

Copyright © 2018 Daily News-Record 12/12/2018


Conservative Policy, National Security And Climate Change
Open Forum: Kirk Becchi
November 7, 2018

Some people try to dismiss climate change as a liberal or Democratic issue. That position is incorrect and unsupported by history. Conservative politicians and institutions have recognized the need to protect the environment and the threat presented by climate change.

In 1970, Republican President Richard Nixon created the Environmental Protection Agency. In 1988, Republican President Ronald Reagan signed the Montreal Protocol, which banned ozone-depleting fluorocarbons.

On July 29, 2015, the Department of Defense issued a report on climate change. The report identified climate change as a “security risk … because it degrades living conditions, human security and the ability of governments to meet the basic needs of their populations. Communities and states that already are fragile and have limited resources are significantly more vulnerable to disruption and far less likely to respond effectively and be resilient to new challenges.”

In February 2017, a group of Republican elder statesman — including former Secretaries of State James A. Baker III and George P. Shultz, and former Secretary of the Treasury Henry M. Paulson — called for taxing carbon pollution produced by burning fossil fuels, which the trio referred to as “a conservative climate solution” based on free-market principles.

The National Association of Insurance Commissioners issued an updated report on July 11, 2018, entitled “Climate Change and Risk Disclosure.” In part, the report reads “Munich RE [a reinsurer] found that weather related losses have increased nearly fourfold in the United States since 1980. According to a study by Munich Re, extreme weather events (such as prolonged droughts, hurricanes, floods, and severe storms) led to $560 billion in insured losses from 1980 until 2015. Experts predict climate change will continue to intensify the frequency and severity of these types of weather events.”

In October, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change issued an urgent call to action in the form of a report stating that we have only a dozen years to prevent global temperatures from increasing 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7º F). If we go above that mark, the scientists say the risks of drought, floods, extreme heat and poverty for hundreds of millions of people significantly increase. This isn’t a problem only for future generations. The wolf is at the door.

Those persons concerned about security at our southern border should imagine the masses of starving and thirst-crazed people who will arrive there, if Central and South America are ravaged by crop failures, droughts and/or severe weather. It’s not hard to envision governments collapsing in those regions and their populations fleeing north to the United States.

We need to stop pretending the problem isn’t real and immediate. We need to listen to the scientists and do what Americans have always done in times of crisis. Roll up our sleeves, stare the danger straight in the eye, and fix the problem. We need to lead other nations, from the front, in the fight. Battling climate change now is a truly conservative, national security and economic imperative.

Kirk Becchi lives in Rockingham.

Copyright © 2018 Daily News-Record 11/7/2018


Facts And Faith Dictate Climate Action
Open Forum: Kirk Becchi
October 5, 2018

A May 1988 Shell Oil confidential internal memorandum, entitled “The Greenhouse Effect,” states “[m]an-made carbon dioxide, released into and accumulated in the atmosphere, is believed to warm the earth through the so-called greenhouse effect. The gas acts like the transparent walls of a greenhouse and traps heat in the atmosphere that would normally be radiated back into space. Mainly due to fossil fuel burning and deforestation, the atmospheric CO2 concentration has increased. … Mathematical models of the earth’s climate indicate that if this warming occurs then it could create significant changes in sea level, ocean currents, precipitation patterns, regional temperature and weather.”

Unless one assumes Shell scientists are smarter, or more observant, than, e.g., Exxon-Mobil scientists, it is safe to assume that the whole industry has likely known of the dangers of climate change for three decades.

A NASA article entitled “Scientific Consensus: Earth’s climate is warming” states studies published in peer-reviewed scientific journals show 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree that climate warming over the past century is extremely likely to be due to human activities.

The scientific organizations concurring include American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Chemical Society, American Geophysical Union, American Medical Association, American Meteorological Society, American Physical Society, The Geological Society of America, 11 international academies, U.S. National Academy of Sciences, U.S. Global Change Research Program, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and an additional 200 worldwide scientific organizations.

A 2016 Papal ecumenical states, “To commit a crime against the natural world is a sin against ourselves and a sin against God.” The “sins” to which the Pope was referring include causing changes to the environment.

According to Interfaith Power & Light, the churches and religions recognizing climate change and the need to care for creation include Baha’i, Buddhist, Anglican, Baptist, Catholic, Brethren, Eastern Orthodox, Episcopal, Lutheran, Mennonite, Methodist, Hindu, Interfaith, Jewish, Muslim, Sikh, and Unitarian Universalist.

Today, we are seeing the effects of man-made climate change, including here in the Valley. We take for granted our temperate climate, which allows for inexpensive and abundant food; the infrequency of severe weather; and the relative freedom from insect borne, and tropical, serious diseases; but all of that could change.

Due to our denial and inaction, we’re decades late to the fight, but there may still be time to minimize the damage for the benefit of our children, grandchildren and everyone else yet to be born.

Instead of dismantling environmental protections, we should (i) acknowledge the urgency of the problem, so the deniers can no longer claim there is no problem or a lack of scientific consensus; (ii) listen to the scientists and implement their suggestions, which almost certainly will involve sacrifice and regulation; and (iii) as a country assume a leadership role in this fight, so other countries won’t be able to use our inaction as an excuse for theirs.

Preserving the planet is the fact-based, faith-based, and pro-life thing to do.

Mr. Becchi lives in Rockingham.

Copyright © 2018 Daily News-Record 10/5/2018

Climate and Energy News Roundup 1/17/2020

Politics and Policy

The latest survey (November 2019) from the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication has found that the “Alarmed” segment of U.S. society is at an all-time high (31%), nearly tripling in size since October 2014.  Ivy Main has filed her first two posts about clean energy bills before the Virginia legislature (Part I, Part II).  In an interview by Elizabeth McGowan, Kristie Smith of the Virginia Conservation Network talked about the Virginia Clean Economy Act.  Ivy Main discussed that act, as well as the Green New Deal Act, at the Virginia Mercury.  James Temple took a cleared-eye view of all of the big infrastructure projects that will be required to adapt to climate change, concluding that we can’t achieve a set of cohesive national goals “if we simply allow cities and citizens to prioritize their individual concerns.”

A federal appeals court on Friday threw out the children’s climate lawsuit, which was trying to force the federal government to take action to address the climate crisis, ruling 2 to 1 that they must look to the political branches for action, rather than the courts.  Among 20 of the most powerful people in government environmental jobs, most have ties to the fossil fuel industry or have fought against the regulations they now are supposed to enforce.  The World Economic Forum’s annual risks report found that, for the first time in its 15-year history, the environment filled the top five places in the list of concerns likely to have a major impact over the next decade.  The European Commission has set out a plan to invest €1tn in climate action, towards its aim of net-zero emissions by 2050.  Data gathered by the UN’s climate body shows that 114 countries have produced more ambitious plans for cutting emissions or have signaled their intention to do so this year.  A new UN proposal calls for national parks, marine sanctuaries and other protected areas to cover nearly one-third or more of the planet by 2030 as part of an effort to stop a sixth mass extinction and slow global warming.  Australia’s vulnerability to climate change is aggravated by its geography because it is surrounded by developing countries that do not have the resources, skills, knowledge, and infrastructure to mitigate the impacts of climate change, leading to the potential for environmental refugees.

Close on the heels of the announcement of the Democrat’s CLEAN Future Act, which is still under development, Republicans are working on their own climate plan.  According to a climate plan unveiled Wednesday, Democratic presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg is pledging to slash carbon pollution by 50% in the U.S. economy by 2030, with full decarbonization by 2050.  Microsoft has promised to be “carbon negative” within the decade and to use its technology, money, and influence to drive down carbon emissions across the economy.  At The Hill, Shahir Masri and Robert Taylor posited that a consensus is emerging in support of a national climate program to drastically reduce emissions, spur investments in clean energy, and provide protection and economic justice for families coping with increased energy costs.  Bloomberg New Energy Finance published the organization’s predictions for what the year 2020 will bring for the low-carbon transition in energy, transport, commodities, and sustainability.  Although written for a UK audience, Chris Goodall’s article about a carbon tax addresses many questions associated with the policy.  Eric Niiler at Wired examined the question of whether carbon offsets really work.

Four coastal Louisiana tribes that claim the U.S. government has violated their human rights by failing to take action on climate change submitted a formal complaint Wednesday to the UN in Geneva, Switzerland.  Several Republicans on the House Energy and Commerce Committee slammed bipartisan legislation to gradually reduce the use of heat-trapping chemicals in air conditioners and refrigerators, arguing the measure would raise costs for consumers.  E-mails obtained by the Natural Resources Defense Council under a federal Freedom of Information Act request revealed a closely coordinated effort between industry and the Justice Department’s environmental division to block climate lawsuits by the cities of Oakland and San Francisco.  The NHTSA and the EPA submitted proposed rules for 2021 through 2026 model years auto fuel efficiency to the White House’s OMB. 

Climate and Climate Science

Reports from NASA and NOAA confirmed that 2019 was the second hottest year on record and that the past decade was the hottest on record.  Perhaps more importantly, the ocean heat content in 2019 was the hottest on record.  Robinson Meyer shared his thoughts about the significance of those events in The Atlantic.  In a study published Wednesday in the journal PLOS ONE, a group of scientists concluded that the massive die-off of sea birds in 2014 through 2016 in the Pacific was caused by a record-breaking ocean heat wave that triggered systemic changes throughout the ocean ecosystem.  Leatherback turtles are making longer journeys, in some cases nearly twice as long as usual, from nesting to feeding grounds, because of rising ocean temperatures and changing sea currents.

Dana Nuccitelli explained how climate change has influenced Australia’s unprecedented fires.  An Australian forest expert worries that Australia is on the brink of a “major ecological shift.”  At Vox, Umair Irfan explained why Australia has always had weird weather and how climate change is influencing it.

Carbon Brief published an analysis of the ten climate papers most featured in the media in 2019.  A new paper in the journal Nature Climate Change reported that with a single day of global weather observations, scientists can now detect evidence of climate change. 

Deforestation in Brazil’s Amazon rose 85% in 2019 compared to the previous year, according to a data-based warning system from Brazil’s National Institute for Space Research.

Two articles this week dealt with ecological grief.  In The New York Times, author Emma Marris provided a five-step plan for dealing with it, while at The Guardian, several scientists revealed how they are coping with a profound sense of loss.

Energy

After Hurricane Maria, several companies and non-profits (one with financial assistance from people in Harrisonburg) donated solar panels and batteries to community centers and critical infrastructure in Puerto Rico.  Adele Peters of Fast Company visited after the earthquake and wrote about how the solar facilities fared.  If you are interested in large-scale energy storage for stabilizing an electrical grid with a lot of renewable energy input, this review article from last week will serve as a good tutorial on the subject.

According to a report by BloombergNEF, burning hydrogen for electricity could work economically in some countries by 2050 if the price on carbon rises to $55 per ton of CO2.  A bigger issue than the combustion of hydrogen will be the production, transportation, and storage of the gas.  Last year saw the global hydrogen fuel sector add more than 1 GW of new capacity for the first time.  U.S. investments in renewable energy set a record in 2019.

A report by the northeast regional advocacy group Acadia Center said that emissions from the power plants covered by the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) were down 47% from 2009 to the end of 2017 – outpacing the rest of the nation by 90%.  The gross domestic product of the RGGI states also grew by 47% over the same period – outperforming the rest of the country, which grew by 31%.  In 2019, U.S. power companies retired or converted roughly 15.1 GW of coal-fired electricity generation, second only to 2015 when 19.3 GW were retired.  On Thursday, Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government and Germany’s four coal-producing states unveiled details of their plan to phase out coal-fired power plants by 2038 at the latest.

In 2020, holistically-planned livestock grazing and regenerative land management practices will be brought to nearly 2,400 acres of solar farms to create carbon sinks, restore biodiversity and soil health, and add to the environmental, social, and economic benefits of solar farms.

The U.S. isn’t the only country where the public is in love with SUVs, causing a dilemma for auto manufacturers facing tougher fuel economy standards.   At E&E News, David Ferris examined four questions that will determine whether the 2020s will be the electric vehicle decade.  The International Code Council, which sets voluntary guidelines for new homes, voted to approve a new provision that will make all new homes built in the U.S. “EV-ready.”  Waynesboro will be in the first group of Virginia cities to receive electric school buses under a plan devised by Dominion Energy.

Potpourri

The BBC will have a year-long series of special programming and coverage on climate change.  David Roberts examined the growing use of wood in the construction of multistory buildings as a way to minimize greenhouse gases in the building industry.  Jane Fonda held her last “Fire Drill Friday” last week.  Two Harrisonburg climate activists were there to participate.  Lennox Yearwood Jr. and Bill McKibben urged people to “follow the money” in their fight against fossil fuels.  A study published in the journal Environmental and Resource Economics found that the installation of rooftop solar panels in a neighborhood increased the share of neighbors who believe human action is the primary cause of climate change.  YouTube has been “actively promoting” videos containing misinformation about climate change, says Time, reporting on findings released Thursday by campaign group Avaaz.  Rupert Murdoch’s younger son, James, and his activist wife, Kathryn, attacked the climate denialism promoted by News Corporation (the global media group) and by the Fox News Channel overseen by James’ older brother, Lachlan.  The Washington Post reviewed “Weathering with You,” an animated feature from Japanese writer-director Makoto Shinkai.  If you like video games, you might be interested in “The Climate Trail” (free and ad-free) by William Volk that can be played on iOS, Android, macOS, and Windows, and “Cranky Uncle” by John Cook that is still in prototype, but should be available soon for both iOS and Android phones.

These news items have been compiled by Les Grady, member and former chair of the CAAV steering committee. He is a licensed professional engineer (retired) who taught environmental engineering at Purdue and Clemson Universities and engaged in private practice with CH2M Hill, the world’s largest environmental engineering consulting firm. Since his retirement in 2003 he has devoted much of his time to the study of climate science and the question of global warming and makes himself available to speak to groups about this subject. More here.

Climate and Energy News Roundup 1/10/2020

Welcome to the first Weekly Roundup of 2020.  Perhaps the best way to start is to consider the words of climate scientist Ben Santer, written on New Years Eve.

Politics and Policy

In a unanimous decision, the 4th Circuit Court of Appeals in Richmond, VA rejected a permit needed by the Atlantic Coast Pipeline to build a compressor station in Union Hill, VA, a community founded by freed slaves after the Civil War.  Federal agencies would no longer have to take climate change into account when they assess the environmental impacts of highways, pipelines, and other major infrastructure projects, according to a Trump administration plan that would weaken the 50-year-old National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA).  In a related action, President Trump proposed changes to NEPA that would redefine what constitutes a “major federal action” to exclude privately financed projects that have minimal government funding or involvement, such as pipelines and other energy infrastructure.  As a result, Reps. Diana DeGette (D-CO) and Francis Rooney (R-FL) sent a letter to the entire House, urging their colleagues to oppose the proposed changes. 

The head of the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday warned that Americans risk choosing the “wrong path” in the 2020 presidential election if they vote for a candidate seeking to fight climate change by banning drilling.  Three members of Extinction Rebellion Scotland boarded a gas mining rig in the port of Dundee in an attempt to stop it from heading out to the North Sea.  There are still pipeline standoffs going on, these between gas companies and Indigenous Peoples in Canada, and they have resulted in a ruling by the UN Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination.  Meanwhile, in the U.S., federal agencies are required by law to work with Native American tribes that might be affected by oil and gas projects, but they often don’t.  Critics of Rupert Murdoch’s Australian newspapers see a concerted effort to shift blame, protect conservative leaders, and divert attention from climate change in the debate about the bush fires.

During the 2017-2018 election cycle in the U.S., oil, gas, and coal industry lobbying and campaign donations totaled $359,165,917, whereas the renewable energy industries spent $26,204,224.  BlackRock, the world’s largest investor, has joined Climate Action 100+, an influential pressure group calling for the biggest polluters to reduce their CO2 emissions.  At Vox, Laura McGann had a message for Boomers: “You can still be heroes in the story of climate change.”  On Wednesday, House Democrats released a white paper that outlined their vision for sweeping climate legislation that would push the U.S. to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.  Surprisingly, it did not call for an economy-wide price on carbon emissions.  Because buildings are a major source of urban greenhouse gas emissions, numerous cities across the U.S. are passing laws or formulating regulations aimed at decreasing the energy use of existing buildings

In an opinion piece in The New York Times (NYT), Jochen Bittner of Die Zeit in Germany argued that moving away from nuclear energy could turn out to be one of the gravest mistakes of the Merkel era.  In the U.S., a line item in the recently passed $1.4 trillion budget provides NOAA with at least $4 million to study the impacts of placing materials in the stratosphere to counter global warming, i.e., geoengineering.  In the last of a four-part series, David Roberts discussed how carbon-capture-and-utilization could be used to build a circular economy around carbon.

Climate and Climate Science

More than three-quarters of the Australian continent experienced the worst fire weather conditions on record last month as 2019 set new benchmarks for heat and dryness across the country.  Carbon Brief compiled a summary of the media response to one of Australia’s worst bushfire seasons on record.  The piece includes an appraisal of the links between climate change, the nation’s recent extreme temperatures, and the fires.  Amid the ongoing bushfire crisis, Australian prime minister Scott Morrison rejected criticism of his government’s climate change policies.  Climate Home News reported that the fires will cost billions of dollars for recovery efforts, while Vox examined the origin of the estimate that around a billion animals had been killed.  Furthermore, many species are expected to go extinct because of habitat loss.  While the world has been focused on the Australian fires, space research agency INPE released data showing that the number of fires in the Amazon rainforest grew 30.5% in 2019 from 2018.  Inside Climate News reported that scientists say we’re witnessing how global warming can push forest ecosystems past a point of no return because some of the burned forests won’t recover in today’s warmer climate.  An important issue following a fire, is what to do with a burned forest.  Should it be cut and replanted, or should regrowth be allowed to occur naturally?

If you would like a short review of the major climate research published in 2019, Yale Climate Connections has one written by Dana Nuccitelli.  Chelsea Harvey asked climate researchers across a variety of disciplines about the biggest priorities and hottest topics for the 2020s.  The number of billion-dollar climate- and weather-related disasters in the U.S. more than doubled in the last decade, with costs soaring above $800 billion, according to a U.S. government report released on Wednesday.  Democratic Republic of Congo is one of several central African countries to be hit by severe flooding in recent months, which researchers have attributed to increasingly intense and unpredictable weather linked to global warming.

European scientists on Wednesday confirmed that 2019 was the second hottest year on record for Earth, behind 2016, which had a strong El Niño event.  Shrubs and grasses are springing up around Mount Everest and across the Himalayas.  Although little is known about the impact of plant growth in the Himalayas, studies of increased vegetation in the Arctic found that they delivered a warming effect in the surrounding landscape.

A new study, published in the journal Nature, has found a link between the amount of Arctic sea ice and the melting of permafrost, with less sea ice leading to greater melting.  Another paper in Nature reported that it was unable to replicate studies that found that acidified sea water negatively influenced some aspects of fish behavior.

Scientists think they’ve uncovered a tipping point in the deforestation of landscapes across Earth: Once an area loses half its forest, the rest of the forest is often swift to fall.

Energy

Led by an 18% drop in coal-fired electricity generation, U.S. greenhouse gas emissions dropped by 2.1% in 2019, according to the Rhodium Group.  Inside Climate News had a good analysis of the emissions drop with graphs for each sector of the economy.  Texas generated more energy from renewable sources in 2019 than from coal, according to data from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas.  E&E News published a discussion of five energy fights to watch in 2020.

In the “hopeful” column, researchers at the University of Michigan have developed a new copper- and iron-based catalyst that uses light to convert CO2 to methane.  If the new catalyst can be improved further, it could help reduce our dependence on fossil fuels, as well as provide a new method of energy storage.

Phoenix-based Nikola Motors is acquiring a battery start-up whose technology could double the distance a battery-electric vehicle can travel between charges, while cutting battery costs in half.  Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy has been chosen as the preferred turbine supplier for the 2.64 GW Dominion Energy Virginia Offshore Wind project.

As one might expect, MIT is conducting a significant amount of work on energy and its conservation.  This month it reported on efforts to reduce energy loss through windows, while last month it explained the various types of renewable energy generation.  Renovation of existing houses is an excellent way to cut the carbon footprint of housing.  Ensia examined how this can be done.

In the “Oh, good grief” column, according to Gilbert et al., the extraction of oceanic methane hydrates has the potential to supply the world with more than 1 million exajoules of energy, equivalent to thousands of years of current global energy demand.  It also has the potential to greatly exacerbate climate change.

Potpourri

At The Correspondent, meteorologist and writer Eric Holthaus provided “a story about our journey to 2030 – a vision of what it could look and feel like if we finally, radically, collectively act to build a world we want to live in.”  Manohla Dargis, co-chief film critic at the NYT reviewed the movie Earth.  Amy Harder has posted at Axios “10 energy and climate issues to watch in 2020”.  Elizabeth Kolbert, a staff writer at The New Yorker, addressed the question, “What will another decade of climate crisis bring?”.  As we seek to adapt to climate change during the 2020s, we can obtain information from the Climate Adaptation Knowledge Exchange (CAKE), a collection of more than 2,000 vetted resources on climate adaptation compiled since 2010 by EcoAdapt, a nonprofit based in Washington state.

These news items have been compiled by Les Grady, member and former chair of the CAAV steering committee. He is a licensed professional engineer (retired) who taught environmental engineering at Purdue and Clemson Universities and engaged in private practice with CH2M Hill, the world’s largest environmental engineering consulting firm. Since his retirement in 2003 he has devoted much of his time to the study of climate science and the question of global warming and makes himself available to speak to groups about this subject. More here.