Climate and Energy News Roundup 7/22/2016

Last September, the 193 member states of the United Nations adopted 17 Sustainable Development Goals.  Now, the first scorecard on those goals has been released, and the U.S. doesn’t rank very well, coming in 25th among the 150 countries evaluated.

Climate

Once again, a new monthly temperature record has been set, with both NOAA and NASA declaring that June 2016 was the hottest June on record, making it the 14th consecutive month of record-breaking temperatures.  This prompted Deke Arndt, the head of the climate monitoring division at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information, to state in an email to Climate Central: “It’s important to keep perspective here. Even if we aren’t setting records, we are in a neighborhood beyond anything we had seen before early 2015.  We’ve left the 20th century far behind. This is a big deal.”  Looking to the future, according to United Nations research, higher temperatures caused by climate change may cost global economies more than $2 trillion by 2030 due to lost worker productivity.

If you’ve been paying attention to the weather you know that parts of the U.S. are experiencing a severe heat wave.  This raises the obvious question: is the heat wave related to climate change?  Chris Mooney examines this question in light of a new report on attribution of extreme weather events from the National Academy of Sciences.  John Abraham has good advice in The Guardian on how to cool someone who has hyperthermia or is otherwise over heated.

Over the four year period from January 2011 through December 2014 Greenland lost around one trillion tons of ice and the rate of ice loss is increasing.  On the other side of the globe, the Antarctic peninsula has been known to be warming since measurements were started in 1951, but now a new study has found that it started cooling slightly around 1998.  Chris Mooney explains that this doesn’t refute global warming, while Roz Pidcock takes a deeper dive into the study.  At The Conversation Australian scientists explain the differences between land ice and sea ice, as well as the impacts of changes in each.  Finally, scientists have started a 3 year study of how the summer growth of red, green, and brown colored algae on the ice in Greenland is affecting the absorption of the sun’s heat, thereby increasing the melt rate.

Climate Central has released an updated version of its Surging Seas Risk Finder that clearly illustrates the impacts of rising sea level.  The original version was really good and the new one looks even better.  This video provides a short tutorial.

Last Friday the EPA issued updated regulations that will reduce methane emissions from landfills containing municipal solid waste.

According to Justin Marshall, of the University of Queensland and the chief investigator of the citizen science program Coral Watch, complete ecosystem collapse has occurred in parts of the Great Barrier Reef following the wide-scale bleaching that occurred due to high water temperatures during the recent summer in the Southern Hemisphere.

Diplomats are in Vienna negotiating a modification to the Montreal protocol to phase out HFC refrigerants, which are much more potent greenhouse gases than CO2.  With 1.6 billion air conditioners expected to be installed worldwide by 2050 as the world warms up, it is important that the refrigerants in them neither damage the ozone layer or exacerbate global warming.  The negotiators are optimistic about reaching a tentative agreement by Saturday, which will be formally adopted in October.

Although the devastating El Niño of 2015 to 2016 has now subsided, in many parts of Africa, Central America and Southeast Asia rains and harvests are not expected to recover until 2017, causing an extreme humanitarian crisis on those regions of the world.

Energy

As they say, the devil is in the details, but if the Hazer Group’s technology for producing hydrogen from methane pans out it will provide a way to economically produce large quantities of hydrogen without also producing CO2.  In fact, it ties up the carbon as graphite.  This provides a reason to be hopeful about our future energy supply.

A new study by the Environment Virginia Research and Policy Center has found that Virginia ranks 39th among the 50 states in installed solar capacity per capita, whereas North Carolina ranks 5th and Maryland 14th.

Eduardo Porter, who writes the “Economic Scene” column for The New York Times, has some interesting thoughts about the rapid increase in renewables and its impact on the total energy mix.  He is concerned that it will throw efforts to combat climate change off course.  One concern Porter expresses is that nuclear power will be priced out of the market, causing its carbon-free power to be replaced by natural gas power plants with their associated CO2 emissions.  The state of New York is considering subsidies to its nuclear power plants to prevent this from happening.

John Wihbey, writing at Yale Climate Connection, looks at the pros and cons of a carbon tax as a way of combating climate change.  Ruth Greenspan Bell, a public policy scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars and a research associate at the Columbia Business School, examines the factors that must be considered when deciding whether to enact a carbon tax.  In spite of the questions raised in the preceding two articles, Canada’s Environment Minister Catherine McKenna has stated that Canada will have a national price on carbon by the end of this year.

Shell’s answer to the question of what strategy oil companies should follow to stay viable in a carbon-constrained world is to focus more on natural gas and less on oil.  Consequently, it now has a 20% share of the global liquefied natural gas market, scores of giant gas tankers prowling the seas, and double the production capacity of its closest competitor, ExxonMobil.  Still, some question the strategy.  Meanwhile, Oil Change International and 11 other environmental organizations have issued a report that finds that if the U.S. builds all 19 natural gas pipelines that have been proposed in the eastern part of the country, it will be unable to meet its emission-reduction targets under the Paris climate agreement.

A review of auto and light truck fuel efficiency standards by EPA and the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has revealed significant progress in the auto industry in improving fuel efficiency to meet the standard set for 2025.  The only impediment to meeting the standard is that the public is buying more trucks and larger autos as a result of low gasoline prices.  One way to increase the average fuel efficiency in the U.S. is to replace cars powered by gasoline and diesel engines with plug-in electric cars.  Two impediments to doing that are a lack of charging stations and the time required to charge.  Consequently, the Obama administration has announced an array of new initiatives to address both impediments.

These news items have been compiled by Les Grady, member and former chair of the CAAV steering committee. He is a licensed professional engineer (retired) who taught environmental engineering at Purdue and Clemson Universities and engaged in private practice with CH2M Hill, the world’s largest environmental engineering consulting firm. Since his retirement in 2003 he has devoted much of his time to the study of climate science and the question of global warming and makes himself available to speak to groups about this subject. More here.

Amelia Williams

Amelia.Williams.600

Our coalition speaker for July was Amelia Williams, artist/poet/activist from the Rockfish Valley area of Nelson County. This PhD English major has poems in several publications, and a book, Walking Wildwood Trail. Her latest venture is catching a great deal of attention:  She is planting copyrighted art works with poems incorporated along the path of the Atlantic Coast Pipeline (with proceeds donated to Wild Virginia for the battle against construction). When the proposed  pipeline path was changed, she started yet another series of art installations. Now she is teaching others how to do this, with both the art and the copyright adding additional legal obstacles to the construction of this enormous compressed gas pipeline through farmlands, old growth woodlands and National Forest, and too near homes and schools to ever be considered safe by most of us.

Amelia’s artworks are designed with place in mind; the sixteen on the Wildwood Trail are in muted earth tones and made of biodegradable materials. They will not be permanent in the landscape. A GPS map and trail map allow people to track down each piece, often located off the ground in trees. Working with wool, recycled paper, wood, found materials and beeswax, both plain and colored, her work looks almost as if it has grown there. When the proposed  pipeline path was changed, another alarmed landowner contacted Amelia, and she started yet another series of art installations. The newest project in Bath County consists of three parts in a large triangle. Each is separated by a 30 minute walk from the next, and with a nod to the homeowners’ wishes, is made of more durable materials, including rocks, bone, copper pipe and jewelry parts. They represent the pipeline itself, the blast zone for construction, and the threatened homes. As all the works are on private property, labors of love, you’ll need permission to see them.

Thanks, Amelia.  We love your wildly imaginative, subversive creations.

– Anne Nielsen, CAAV Coalition Building Committee

Photos below are from Amelia of the piece “Blast.” The entire work is called “Triage.” It is located along the proposed Atlantic Coast Pipeline pathway on private property in Bath County.

 

More on Amelia from her “poet bio”:

Amelia.Williams.Pipeline.crop
Amelia Williams on the right and another Nelson County resident at the Washington, DC march during the Pope’s visit, September 2015.

Amelia L. Williams, PhD is a poet and writer/editor who lives in the rural Rockfish River Valley of Central Virginia. She is the author of Walking Wildwood Trail: Poems and Photographs, a book of photos and lyrical poems from a 3-mile trail of eco-poetry art works in Nelson County. The trail celebrates the Central Virginia landscapes that the proposed fracked-gas Atlantic Coast Pipeline would ravage. Williams has long been interested in the productive intersections of artistic creativity, mindfulness practice and the spirit of place – synergies made more urgent by her activism against the ACP. She received her doctorate in English Literature at the University of Virginia. Her work has appeared in Centrifugal Eye, The Blue Ridge Anthology, Sow’s Ear Poetry Review, The Piedmont Virginian, and elsewhere. A portion of her poetry exchange about the “growing season” with poet Tricia Knoll appeared on the Orion Magazine Tumblr blog on May 15, 2014. She is a fellow of the Hambidge Center for the Creative Arts & Sciences.

Please note:  Steering committee meetings are open, and you are encouraged to come and hear our coalition speakers, held on the third Tuesday of each month at WVPT at 1pm 

Climate News Roundup 7/15/2016

Our lead is a VERY lengthy article from the New York Times Magazine about Virginia’s own Tangier Island and the likely effects on the island of sea level rise (also known by too many Virginia Legislators as recurrent flooding).  Maybe TMI but you’ll get the gist of it early on.  http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/10/magazine/should-the-united-states-save-tangier-island-from-oblivion.html

While many are wondering about Brexit’s effect on EU efforts to mitigate climate change, for once it seems the North American countries may be making some headway.  http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/285979-us-canada-mexico-detail-continent-wide-clean-energy-plan

Speaking of Brexit, here are a couple of articles about the UK–its climate change preparedness and its new Prime Minister’s axing of its climate department.
From The Guardian:  https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/jul/12/uk-poorly-prepared-for-climate-change-impacts-government-advisers-warn
From Independent:  http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-department-killed-off-by-theresa-may-in-plain-stupid-and-deeply-worrying-move-a7137166.html

No self-respecting climate weekly roundup could leave out dire warnings about climate change’s effects on melting ice and biodiversity, so here are this week’s contributions from the Washington Post, The Guardian and Think Progress:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/07/07/snow-and-sea-ice-keep-hitting-record-lows-this-year-in-the-northern-hemisphere/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/07/13/the-extraordinary-years-have-become-the-normal-years-scientists-survey-radical-melt-in-the-arctic/

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/jul/14/biodiversity-below-safe-levels-across-over-half-of-worlds-land-study

http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2016/07/13/3797042/mangroves-die-off-climate-change-australia/

Uh oh, more dire warnings.  Here are items reporting on links between climate change and human and wildlife deaths.  Even though one is about a 2003 heat wave, the world’s warming has not lessened, and we continue to break heat records.
From Inside Climate:  https://insideclimatenews.org/news/07072016/climate-change-blame-deadliness-2003-heat-wave-new-study-paris-london
From The Guardian:  https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2016/jul/11/we-just-broke-the-record-for-hottest-year-9-straight-times
From the Washington Post:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/07/07/june-was-record-hot-for-the-u-s-and-billion-dollar-weather-disasters-surge-to-eight/

Here’s some politicians’ takes on the economic benefits of addressing climate change:  http://www.republicen.org/alerts/indiana-mayor-makes-environment-and-conservation-a-priority
Two south Florida congressman weighed in on addressing ocean acidification (which many believe is worsening because of climate change):  http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/op-ed/article88981322.html

And from the other party:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/07/12/why-obamas-top-scientist-just-called-keeping-fossil-fuels-in-the-ground-unrealistic/

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/senators-target-climate-change-denial_us_57856398e4b0867123dececc

http://grist.org/election-2016/sanders-final-win-climate-action-in-the-democratic-platform/

On the other hand….
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2016/07/12/3797378/gop-clean-coal/

GOP votes down funding for global climate fund

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/07/13/republicans-just-escalated-the-war-over-exxonmobil-and-climate-change/

Here’s an article about utilities’ planning for carbon regulation–makes one wonder about what Virginia utilities are doing in this regard.  http://www.eenews.net/interactive/clean_power_plan/column_posts/1060040032

Let’s finish with some more bad news and a ray of hope, shall we?

The weather we can look forward to:  http://www.climatecentral.org/news/sizzling-summers-20515

Climate change reality checks from Bloomberg and the Christian Science Monitor:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-07-11/fossil-fuel-industry-risks-losing-33-trillion-to-climate-change
http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/2016/0713/Insurers-banks-and-pension-funds-could-all-be-hurt-by-climate-change

But we’re working on getting ready for climate change, aren’t we?  Well, maybe not all of us.
http://motherboard.vice.com/read/some-cities-are-falling-behind-in-preparing-for-the-effects-of-climate-change

And what do Americans think about climate change (hint–this is the ray of hope):  http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2016/07/14/3797998/americans-climate-alarm-denial/

Have a good week anyway.

These news items have been compiled by Joy Loving, member of the CAAV steering committee and leader of Solarize efforts in the valley.

Climate News Roundup 7/8/2016

Should people only be able to advocate for action on climate change if they have a zero carbon footprint?  A very interesting piece on Climate Wire explores this question and asks what we should all be doing about our carbon footprints.

Many people who read this weekly roundup advocate actively for a carbon fee and dividend as a way to move our economy away from fossil fuels.  Adele Morris, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, has written a piece entitled “Eleven Essential Questions for Designing a Policy to Price Carbon.”  Although long, this piece deserves careful study before making another trip to Washington, D.C. to lobby with CCL.  It gives a good understanding of what is required to address such a major policy change.

Climate

CAAV member Dave Pruett has a new blog post on The Huffington Post entitled “What Economists Don’t Know about Physics – and Why It’s Killing Us.”

Last month was the hottest June on record for the contiguous U.S., the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced Thursday.  It was 3.3°F above the 20th century average of 68.5°F, beating the previous record set in 1933 by 0.2°F.

A new study in Nature Climate Change reconciles the differences in estimates of Earth’s climate sensitivity, showing that the lower values obtained by the energy budget technique are not accurate, suggesting that the degree of warming projected by the various models used by the IPCC is more likely to be accurate.  While this finding is good for our understanding of the climate, it is no solace for those concerned about the future.

The Indo-Pacific Warm Pool is a region of the Indian and Pacific oceans centered on the equator that has significant impacts on weather patterns, including the formation of monsoons and tropical cyclones, in south Asia.  Now a new study published in Sciences Advances has shown that it is growing larger.  Chris Mooney, writing in The Washington Post, explains the significance of this finding.

On Friday, super-typhoon Nepartak hit the east coast of Taiwan with sustained winds of 145 mph.  Although the winds dropped as it passed over Taiwan, Nepartak was expected to make landfall in China on Saturday morning, bringing heavy rains.  Andrew Freedman summarized the characteristics of the storm and why it was so strong.  While the impacts of climate change on the frequency and magnitude of tropical cyclones is still unknown, sea level rise from climate change increases the damage in low-lying areas.  This article is an example of what often happens to the women on the coasts of India and Bangladesh following a typhoon.

One puzzle that has plagued climate science for a while and provided fodder for climate change deniers is that while the extent of Arctic sea ice has been shrinking (go here to see a new spiral plot of the ice volume), the area of Antarctic sea ice has been increasing.  Now a new study published in Nature Geoscience has attributed the behavior of the Antarctic sea ice to a natural cycle in the Pacific Ocean.

Deforestation is a major driver of climate change.  Consequently, it is both interesting and important that a study in Uganda has demonstrated clearly that paying owners of forest land not to cut down their trees (so-called payment for ecological services) decreases the rate of deforestation.

Energy

As one might expect, the U.S. is not the only country with methane leakage from gas wells and fractures in the earth.  Australia has similar problems, with methane leakage from coal seam gas wells.  Unfortunately, at this point, no one knows how extensive the leakage is.  Yale Climate Connections summarizes the promises and pitfalls of natural gas (i.e., methane).

With the Interior Department set to finalize a five-year offshore drilling plan later this year, climate activists and representatives of the oil industry are lining up for what will likely be the last major battle over Arctic drilling during the Obama administration.  Meanwhile, the Obama administration on Thursday finalized rules that will require companies to have strict safety and environmental protection plans in place before they drill for oil or natural gas in the Arctic Ocean.

According to Ian Urbina in The New York Times the Kemper clean-coal power plant “project is a story of how a monopoly utility, with political help from the Mississippi governor and from federal energy officials who pressured state regulators in letters to support the project, shifted the burden of one of the most expensive power plants ever built onto the shoulders of unwitting investors and some of the lowest-income ratepayers in the country.”  The Southern Co. responded in the Atlanta Business Chronicle.  Dan Zegart at DeSmog has additional background information.  Urbina also has an article about clean coal technology.

According to Nichola Groom of Reuters, “The cost of electricity from large-scale solar installations now is comparable to and sometimes cheaper than natural gas-fired power, even without incentives aimed at promoting environmentally friendly power, according to industry players and outside cost studies.”  This causes some to suggest that the focus should now shift away from residential, rooftop solar to larger installations.  Let’s hope the VA Legislature and SCC are paying attention.  Tom Gorter of Dynamic Mechanical Energy Systems/Helios Nevada told the Roanoke City Council that his company had bought property close to Roanoke and plans to build a renewable energy power plant system.  He said their goal is to build a 50-megawatt 24/7 renewable energy plant, beginning with solar power and combining with other technologies.  Speaking of rooftop solar, Dow Chemical is shutting down its solar shingle business.

Kelly Vaughn of Rocky Mountain Institute makes the case for net zero energy schools.  There are lots of reasons for having them.  Perhaps we could convince our local school boards.

The World Nuclear Association, a nuclear power industry trade group, has the goal of supplying 25% of the world’s electricity by 2050.  There are many reasons why that goal might be unrealistic.  Indeed, although continued use of nuclear energy is inherent in the plans announced last week by President Obama and the leaders of Canada and Mexico, Chris Mooney says that the future of nuclear (and CCS) is murky.

These news items have been compiled by Les Grady, member and former chair of the CAAV steering committee. He is a licensed professional engineer (retired) who taught environmental engineering at Purdue and Clemson Universities and engaged in private practice with CH2M Hill, the world’s largest environmental engineering consulting firm. Since his retirement in 2003 he has devoted much of his time to the study of climate science and the question of global warming and makes himself available to speak to groups about this subject. More here.

Climate and Energy News Roundup 7/1/2016

Climate

A new meta-analysis of the national pledges made in Paris last December at the Climate Conference reaffirms the earlier conclusion that those pledges are insufficient to limit warming to 2 C, much less 1.5 C, which was an aspirational goal.  Even more disturbing, the current pledges are likely to leave temperatures at 2.6 to 3.1 C warmer than pre-industrial levels by the year 2100.  Malte Meinshausen, one of the authors of the study, discusses its implications at The Conversation, while Joeri Rogelj, the lead author, presents his views in a guest post at Carbon Brief.  All three of the linked-to articles are worth reading to provide a deeper understanding of the challenges we face.

The drought in the southwestern U.S. continues, in spite of the precipitation in some areas over the winter.  As a result, wildfire season has already started, with fires in both California and Arizona.  Meanwhile, in the Sierra Nevada region of California, insect infestations in combination with the drought have killed an estimated 66 million trees, greatly adding to the available fuel if a fire does start.  The Guardian examines changes in the fire season in California while Bob Berwyn of Inside Climate News summarizes recent forest loses around the world and examines their implications.

In what has been called a once in 1000 year event, massive flash flooding hit southern West Virginia, killing over 20 people, destroying 1500 homes, and causing massive property damage.

Dana Nuccitelli examines the parallel between the Brexit vote and climate change as far as the impact on young people is concerned.  While Great Britain’s vote to leave the EU has caused a great deal of turmoil in the world economy, it has also raised a great deal of uncertainty with regards to its and the EU’s commitments to the Paris Climate Agreement.  Nevertheless, The Guardian reported that UK Ministers were expected to approve the fifth UK carbon budget before the end of the month and it was expected to commit the UK to a 57% reduction in carbon emissions (compared to 1990 levels) by 2032.

Recently, the Sahel of Africa has seen a recovery from the severe drought that it had experienced in the 1970’s and 1980’s.  Now a new study published in Nature Climate Change has attributed that recovery in part to increased atmospheric moisture over the Mediterranean resulting from increased temperatures, i.e., global warming.  That is not to say that global warming will be good for the Sahel overall, because of increased evapotranspiration, higher heat index, and more intense rainstorms.  This illustrates, once again, that the climate is complicated.

Another example of the complexity of climate change comes from a study reported in Nature Climate Change.  This one deals with greening of the North American Arctic, which is evident from satellite images collected over almost 30 years.  The cause was attributed to rising CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere.  Meanwhile, a new study of the ocean region south of Greenland that contains the “cold blob” concluded that the blob was due to exceptionally deep ocean mixing in the region driven by local weather and winds, rather than by meltwater from Greenland.  Other scientists disagree.

The rate of increase in global average temperature slowed somewhat during the first part of this century.  Now a new study published in Nature Climate Change has found that the slowdown was associated with the large emissions of sulfur dioxide from China’s coal-fired power plants, which lacked pollution control devices.

Diet, and specifically consumption of ruminants (beef, lamb, and goats), is a large contributor to greenhouse gas emissions.  Consequently, some are now advocating for a meat tax as a way of impacting consumer choices.  To help people make informed choices the World Resources Institute has published a chart that shows greenhouse gas emissions per unit of protein for a variety of protein sources.

Energy

Ben Rosen of the Christian Science Monitor looked at why Exxon Mobil is now lobbying for a revenue-neutral carbon tax.  It would be a big help if governments would phase out the subsidies they give to the fossil fuel industry.  The U.S., for example, provides some $20 billion annually.  Unfortunately, the G-20 nations have failed to reach an agreement on a deadline for phasing out such subsidies.

Later this summer, BARC Electric Cooperative in southwestern Virginia will flip the switch on the state’s first community solar project.  Southeast Energy News interviewed BARC CEO Mark Keyser about the system and how it came about.  On Thursday Dominion Virginia Power won regulatory approval from the State Corporation Commission for three new solar farms at sites in Louisa, Powhatan and Isle of Wight counties.  The US solar industry expects to install 14.5 gigawatts of solar power in 2016, a 94% increase over the record 7.5 gigawatts last year, according to a new market report by GTM Research and the Solar Energy Industries Association.

Barack Obama, Justin Trudeau and Enrique Peña Nieto committed their countries to a new regional clean power goal at a summit in Ottawa, pledging to produce 50% of their power from hydropower, wind, solar, nuclear plants, and carbon capture and storage by 2025.

The Oakland, California, City Council voted unanimously Monday to block the handling and storage of coal in the city, effectively halting a developer’s controversial plan to ship coal from the port.  As might be expected, the decision is highly controversial, and thus can’t yet be considered a done-deal.  The Utah counties from which the coal would come have stated that they are determined to find a port from which to export their coal.

On Tuesday Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe issued an Executive Order directing Secretary of Natural Resources Molly Ward to convene a working group and recommend concrete steps to reduce carbon pollution from the state’s power plants. The group will evaluate options under Virginia’s existing authority to address carbon pollution.  Nevertheless, some environmental groups were critical of the governor’s record on climate change.

In the first two months of 2016, greenhouse gases from transportation topped those from the power sector for the first time, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.  In spite of more stringent fuel economy standards, Americans are choosing larger vehicles, which get lower gas mileage, and driving more, both of which are causing greenhouse gas emissions from transportation to continue growing.  Perhaps increased adoption of electric vehicle mandates by states will help address the problem.

The World Bank has agreed to lend India $1 billion for its huge solar energy program.  India’s goal is to increase its solar capacity 30 fold by 2020.

These news items have been compiled by Les Grady, member and former chair of the CAAV steering committee. He is a licensed professional engineer (retired) who taught environmental engineering at Purdue and Clemson Universities and engaged in private practice with CH2M Hill, the world’s largest environmental engineering consulting firm. Since his retirement in 2003 he has devoted much of his time to the study of climate science and the question of global warming and makes himself available to speak to groups about this subject. More here.